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Notes from inside the data.

Finding leaks in your own game, what hundreds of thousands of hands say about how the player pool actually plays, and the occasional note on building PokerForge.

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Minimum Defense Frequency: the math behind "you're folding too much"

The real, pot-derived ceiling on how often it's ever correct to fold to a bet — and why it beats a population average.

Why we price every leak in bb/100, not a population percentage

A 32.9-point gap and a 17.3-point gap from the same real database — priced properly, the smaller-looking one is worth 13.5x more.